YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$1.2K
40 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 41 traders
Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15?
11 MARKETS · $2.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C or below on November 15
0¢—$200/0Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C or below on November 15—0¢
$200/0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on November 15
0¢—$350/0Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on November 15—0¢
$350/0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on November 15
1¢—$650/0Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on November 15—1¢
$650/0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on November 15
3¢—$1120/0Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on November 15—3¢
$1120/0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 15←
24¢—$1.2K0/0Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 15←—24¢
$1.2K0/0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 15
62¢—$5000/0Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 15—62¢
$5000/0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 15
11¢—$1480/0Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 15—11¢
$1480/0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on November 15
2¢—$950/0Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on November 15—2¢
$950/0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on November 15
1¢—$950/0Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on November 15—1¢
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs7 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 24¢
YES 22%NO 78%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 24¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 29% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 77%· net of hedges
$314
$886
+20 new YES · 2 smart whales+28 new NO · 7 smart whales
$145 bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on YES
YES 2NO 1one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 18h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $138 is directional: YES $40·NO $97YES Team
Total Invested
$40
Avg Win Rate
61.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+7.4%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$158
Avg Win Rate
67.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+1.7%)
Whales
7
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇
Entry 77¢·81.4 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $63 · WR 55.2%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 71¢·35 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $25 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 71¢·30 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $21 · WR 86.1%
N
Near-Science
Entry 76¢·26 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
—
—INV $20 · WR 57.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 71¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $14 · WR 79.6%
T
TakeYourTemperature
Entry 80¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 68.6%
H
HWReborn
Entry 76¢·8.6 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 55.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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