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Geopolitics18 days left

Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by November 30, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
64¢
64% implied
NO Price
36¢
36% implied
Volume
$1.6K
55 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 41 traders

Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by...?

2 MARKETS · $3.4K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs3 NO
70%30%
70% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 48% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 65%· net of hedges
+32 new YES$859+20 new NO$531
$309 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $579 is directional: YES $278·NO $301
YES Team
Total Invested
$278
Avg Win Rate
67.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$33(+11.8%)
Whales
7
P
paddaa🥇
Entry 55¢·210 shares
+$18INV $116 · WR 61.4%
N
name505🥈
Entry 58¢·80 shares
+$5INV $46 · WR 79.0%
A
Annihilation🥉
Entry 60¢·60.5 shares
+$2INV $36 · WR 64.7%
P
Peaven
Entry 51¢·70 shares
+$9INV $36 · WR 75.2%
J
Julik777
Entry 66¢·30.3 shares
$-1INV $20 · WR 61.7%
M
ManipulationOfRisk
Entry 66¢·30.3 shares
$-1INV $20 · WR 74.2%
N
neh-man
Entry 66¢·5 shares
$-0INV $3 · WR 79.3%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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