YES Price
84¢
84% implied
NO Price
16¢
16% implied
Volume
$2.7K
77 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 66 traders
Which company has the best AI model on December 15?
21 MARKETS · $15.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on December 15, 2026
0¢0¢$7040/2Will Alibaba have the best AI model on December 15, 20260¢0¢
$7040/2
Will Amazon have the best AI model on December 15, 2026
0¢0¢$4460/4Will Amazon have the best AI model on December 15, 20260¢0¢
$4460/4
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on December 15, 2026
14¢+6¢$1.4K1/4Will Anthropic have the best AI model on December 15, 2026+6¢14¢
$1.4K1/4
Will Baidu have the best AI model on December 15, 2026
0¢0¢$5750/3Will Baidu have the best AI model on December 15, 20260¢0¢
$5750/3
Will ByteDance have the best AI model on December 15, 2026
1¢−1¢$7310/5Will ByteDance have the best AI model on December 15, 2026−1¢1¢
$7310/5
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on December 15, 2026
1¢+32¢$3771/2Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on December 15, 2026+32¢1¢
$3771/2
Will Google have the best AI model on December 15, 2026←
84¢−44¢$2.7K2/3Will Google have the best AI model on December 15, 2026←−44¢84¢
$2.7K2/3
Will Meituan have the best AI model on December 15, 2026
0¢0¢$4620/2Will Meituan have the best AI model on December 15, 20260¢0¢
$4620/2
Will Meta have the best AI model on December 15, 2026
1¢−1¢$6430/4Will Meta have the best AI model on December 15, 2026−1¢1¢
$6430/4
Will Microsoft have the best AI model on December 15, 2026
0¢0¢$9750/3Will Microsoft have the best AI model on December 15, 20260¢0¢
$9750/3
Will MiniMax have the best AI model on December 15, 2026
0¢+33¢$5941/2Will MiniMax have the best AI model on December 15, 2026+33¢0¢
$5941/2
Will Mistral have the best AI model on December 15, 2026
0¢0¢$5620/4Will Mistral have the best AI model on December 15, 20260¢0¢
$5620/4
Will Moonshot have the best AI model on December 15, 2026
1¢−1¢$5490/3Will Moonshot have the best AI model on December 15, 2026−1¢1¢
$5490/3
Will Nvidia have the best AI model on December 15, 2026
1¢−1¢$3440/4Will Nvidia have the best AI model on December 15, 2026−1¢1¢
$3440/4
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on December 15, 2026
2¢−2¢$4830/2Will OpenAI have the best AI model on December 15, 2026−2¢2¢
$4830/2
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on December 15, 2026
1¢−1¢$4130/3Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on December 15, 2026−1¢1¢
$4130/3
Will StepFun have the best AI model on December 15, 2026
1¢−1¢$4570/2Will StepFun have the best AI model on December 15, 2026−1¢1¢
$4570/2
Will Tencent have the best AI model on December 15, 2026
1¢−1¢$3860/2Will Tencent have the best AI model on December 15, 2026−1¢1¢
$3860/2
Will Thinky have the best AI model on December 15, 2026
0¢0¢$5450/3Will Thinky have the best AI model on December 15, 20260¢0¢
$5450/3
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs7 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 84¢
YES 42%NO 58%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 84¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 84%· net of hedges
$1.3K
$290
+14 new YES · 2 smart whales+34 new NO · 6 smart whales
$127 bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ3 of 3 on YES
YES 3NO 0one dot = one wallet
3 wallets on YES
0 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 3 days ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $576 is directional: YES $576·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$576
Avg Win Rate
75.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$13(+2.2%)
Whales
5
E
Excellent-Mythology🥇
Entry 86¢·587.6 shares
Invested
$504
Win Rate
76.5%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $504 · WR 76.5%
J
justT🥈
Entry 73¢·60 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $44 · WR 66.7%
N
NoTeacher🥉
Entry 72¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $14 · WR 60.3%
P
ProPredictor007
Entry 84¢·15.4 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 75.8%
I
iutwpfal◆Proven
Entry 3¢·35 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $1 · WR 74.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$101
Avg Win Rate
78.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$9(-8.6%)
Whales
7
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 18¢·285.5 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $52 · WR 71.9%
H
haveagoodday🥈
Entry 16¢·145 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $23 · WR 86.5%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 18¢·54 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 79.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 23¢·40 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $9 · WR 86.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 17¢·30 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 88.6%
V
vviejfiejfeiejfiii221
Entry 34¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
73.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 73.7%
A
anothercoin
Entry 12¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 84.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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