2 days left
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on November 16?
YES Price
36¢
36% implied
NO Price
64¢
64% implied
Volume
$1.9K
61 trades
Smart Whales
2
of 20 traders · 1 on both sides
Bitcoin price on November 16?
11 MARKETS · $11.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs1 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 36¢
YES 67%NO 33%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 36¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
$308
$990
+4 new YES · 1 smart whale+12 new NO · 1 smart whale
$237 bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on NO
YES 1NO 2one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on YES
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 40h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$52 of $228 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $176·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$202
Avg Win Rate
78.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$157(+77.7%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$26
Avg Win Rate
78.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-1.6%)
Whales
1
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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