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Geopolitics61 days left

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$693.2K
5,764 trades
Smart Whales
104
of 1,414 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

35 YESvs70 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 46 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$15+12 new NO$541
$14 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$19 of $7.2K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $188·NO $7.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
59.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.2K(-81.8%)
Whales
35
H
Horrible-Blazer🥇hedged
Entry 67¢·300.3 shares·also $16 on NO
$-185INV $200 · WR 55.9%
M
michigancity🥈hedged
Entry 83¢·234 shares·also $28 on NO
$-182INV $194 · WR 59.1%
B
brk2016🥉
Entry 103¢·186.8 shares
$-182INV $192 · WR 57.4%
M
Mature-Aftermathhedged
Entry 78¢·201.1 shares·also $53 on NO
$-146INV $156 · WR 56.1%
P
Pulserhedged
Entry 79¢·190.5 shares·also $27 on NO
$-140INV $150 · WR 56.6%
G
gvszlee123hedged
Entry 94¢·118.8 shares·also $28 on NO
$-106INV $112 · WR 81.8%
M
meagainsttheworldProven
Entry 15¢·666.7 shares
$-62INV $100 · WR 63.5%
E
eppshedged
Entry 41¢·200 shares·also $133 on NO
$-71INV $81 · WR 56.0%
5
5atka
Entry 18¢·198.7 shares
$-26INV $35 · WR 57.3%
C
Cool600
Entry 14¢·200 shares
$-18INV $28 · WR 55.6%
Showing top 10 of 35

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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