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Politics51 days left

Will 215-219 House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
32¢
32% implied
NO Price
68¢
68% implied
Volume
$2.7K
82 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 58 traders · 1 on both sides

How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?

8 MARKETS · $13.6K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs14 NO
13%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%· net of hedges
+18 new YES$347+20 new NO$873
$328 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 32% of the money is not a bet
$119 of $368 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $3·NO $246
YES Team
Total Invested
$63
Avg Win Rate
70.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$29(+46.4%)
Whales
2
B
bernardbulletin🥇hedged
Entry 23¢·263.1 shares·also $301 on NO
+$23INV $60 · WR 70.4%
M
mustbethewater🥈
Entry 11¢·30 shares
+$6INV $3 · WR 79.6%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 17% YES: 215-219 House members vote to impeach…