YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$1.5K
60 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 49 traders
Highest temperature in Manila on November 8?
11 MARKETS · $7.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on November 8
0¢+100¢$5361/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on November 8+100¢0¢
$5361/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on November 8
0¢+100¢$1491/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on November 8+100¢0¢
$1491/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on November 8
1¢+99¢$3601/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on November 8+99¢1¢
$3601/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on November 8
4¢+96¢$4301/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on November 8+96¢4¢
$4301/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 8
25¢+25¢$1.7K1/1Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 8+25¢25¢
$1.7K1/1
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 8←
50¢−17¢$1.5K1/2Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 8←−17¢50¢
$1.5K1/2
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 8
24¢+76¢$9491/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 8+76¢24¢
$9491/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 8
0¢+100¢$8081/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 8+100¢0¢
$8081/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on November 8
0¢+100¢$2531/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on November 8+100¢0¢
$2531/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs9 NO
10%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 51%· net of hedges
+24 new YES$713+34 new NO$740
$276 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $131 is directional: YES $3·NO $128YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
70.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$12(+454.9%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$243
Avg Win Rate
68.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$6(+2.5%)
Whales
9
2
241532532432🥇
Entry 48¢·216 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $104 · WR 55.1%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 49¢·60 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $29 · WR 71.9%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 48¢·54.9 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $26 · WR 79.7%
L
Lucerys
Entry 50¢·50.4 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $25 · WR 87.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 48¢·41.7 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $20 · WR 87.9%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 51¢·32.5 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $17 · WR 59.8%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 48¢·30 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $14 · WR 86.1%
3
0x3cf7f157...
Entry 52¢·11.9 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 63.6%
T
thunderfrog
Entry 53¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 71.8%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 154ms