YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$479
27 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 35 traders
Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7?
11 MARKETS · $6.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on November 7
0¢+22¢$4682/7Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on November 7+22¢0¢
$4682/7
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 7
0¢+29¢$1282/5Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 7+29¢0¢
$1282/5
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 7
0¢+27¢$3313/8Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 7+27¢0¢
$3313/8
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 7
1¢+16¢$2672/10Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 7+16¢1¢
$2672/10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 7←
3¢+26¢$4795/12Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 7←+26¢3¢
$4795/12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 7
23¢+8¢$7654/9Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 7+8¢23¢
$7654/9
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 7
59¢−38¢$1.8K3/11Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 7−38¢59¢
$1.8K3/11
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 7
9¢+27¢$9005/9Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 7+27¢9¢
$9005/9
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 7
2¢+25¢$5404/11Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 7+25¢2¢
$5404/11
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs12 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 19% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+20 new YES$29+19 new NO$478
$11 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $35 is directional: YES $7·NO $29YES Team
Total Invested
$7
Avg Win Rate
73.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-58.7%)
Whales
5
N
newbie147🥇
Entry 9¢·40 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 70.8%
M
mustbethewater🥈
Entry 9¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 79.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 9¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 71.9%
W
w9383
Entry 8¢·5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 62.1%
5
0x50ea22d9...hedged
Entry 3¢·10 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 78.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$169
Avg Win Rate
83.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+1.0%)
Whales
12
S
smallreceipt🥇
Entry 98¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $29 · WR 88.6%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 97¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $29 · WR 87.5%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 95¢·30 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $28 · WR 87.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 92¢·30 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $28 · WR 85.9%
2
241532532432
Entry 97¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 55.3%
5
0x50ea22d9...hedged
Entry 96¢·10 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 78.2%
T
TakeYourTemperature
Entry 98¢·9.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 66.0%
L
Lucerys
Entry 94¢·6.6 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 87.6%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 98¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 60.1%
P
products
Entry 98¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 85.6%
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