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17 days left

Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in November?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
62¢
62% implied
NO Price
38¢
38% implied
Volume
$2.8K
75 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 41 traders

How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in November?

4 MARKETS · $6.6K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs3 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 62¢
YES 57%NO 43%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 62¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 78%· net of hedges
+2 new YES+2 new NO
$23 bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on NO
YES 1NO 2one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on YES
2 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 2h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $793 is directional: YES $57·NO $736
YES Team
Total Invested
$57
Avg Win Rate
66.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$217(+378.6%)
Whales
4
O
oneofthepplProven🥇
Entry 9¢·275.4 shares
+$168INV $26 · WR 63.4%
S
Started-with-20-USDProven🥈
Entry 35¢·40 shares
+$14INV $14 · WR 58.5%
6
0x6fa70d26...Proven🥉
Entry 38¢·26 shares
+$8INV $10 · WR 86.9%
W
Weary-Pat-Slash
Entry 16¢·48 shares
+$26INV $8 · WR 64.5%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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