YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$2.2K
98 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 73 traders · 3 on both sides
Highest temperature in Manila on November 4?
11 MARKETS · $8.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on November 4
0¢+100¢$2351/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on November 4+100¢0¢
$2351/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on November 4
0¢+100¢$2351/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on November 4+100¢0¢
$2351/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on November 4
0¢+33¢$2851/2Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on November 4+33¢0¢
$2851/2
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on November 4
0¢+50¢$4881/1Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on November 4+50¢0¢
$4881/1
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on November 4
1¢+49¢$5342/2Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on November 4+49¢1¢
$5342/2
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 4←
27¢+23¢$2.2K2/2Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 4←+23¢27¢
$2.2K2/2
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 4
56¢−6¢$1.4K3/3Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 4−6¢56¢
$1.4K3/3
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 4
15¢+18¢$1.7K3/6Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 4+18¢15¢
$1.7K3/6
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 4
1¢+39¢$4942/3Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 4+39¢1¢
$4942/3
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs19 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 80% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+42 new YES$608+55 new NO$1.6K
$634 of this was bought on both sides by the same 23 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales20 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 46% of the money is not a bet
$222 of $478 is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $204·NO $52YES Team
Total Invested
$315
Avg Win Rate
56.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-1.5%)
Whales
8
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇hedged
Entry 27¢·749.9 shares·also $92 on NO
Invested
$202
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $202 · WR 56.0%
B
Bilberry🥈
Entry 29¢·194.2 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $56 · WR 56.8%
A
AuspiciousWolf🥉hedged
Entry 34¢·99.3 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$34
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $34 · WR 58.6%
2
241532532432
Entry 25¢·46 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 55.3%
T
twobonclayhedged
Entry 36¢·20 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $7 · WR 57.0%
N
newbie147
Entry 9¢·30 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $3 · WR 71.1%
F
0xf43e3787...
Entry 29¢·7.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 62.9%
T
thunderfrog
Entry 26¢·4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 73.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$439
Avg Win Rate
71.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$35(+8.0%)
Whales
19
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇hedged
Entry 74¢·125 shares·also $202 on YES
Invested
$92
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $92 · WR 56.0%
G
god83743894🥈
Entry 64¢·139.6 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $89 · WR 86.1%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 67¢·121.9 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $81 · WR 72.1%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 65¢·31.4 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $20 · WR 60.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 62¢·30 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $19 · WR 88.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 68¢·23.1 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $16 · WR 79.7%
L
Lucerys
Entry 67¢·22.5 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $15 · WR 88.0%
T
TakeYourTemperature
Entry 76¢·19.3 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $15 · WR 64.6%
W
whhisky
Entry 74¢·19 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
70.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $14 · WR 70.7%
M
melchior1248
Entry 62¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $12 · WR 69.8%
Showing top 10 of 19
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