YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$1.4K
89 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 68 traders · 2 on both sides
Highest temperature in Madrid on November 4?
11 MARKETS · $5.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 10°C on November 4
0¢+100¢$951/0Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 10°C on November 4+100¢0¢
$951/0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 11°C on November 4
0¢+43¢$2703/4Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 11°C on November 4+43¢0¢
$2703/4
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 12°C on November 4
1¢+42¢$1443/4Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 12°C on November 4+42¢1¢
$1443/4
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on November 4
1¢+9¢$2491/9Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on November 4+9¢1¢
$2491/9
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 4←
14¢+5¢$1.4K4/17Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 4←+5¢14¢
$1.4K4/17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 4
61¢−21¢$8206/9Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 4−21¢61¢
$8206/9
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 4
24¢−7¢$3542/10Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 4−7¢24¢
$3542/10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 4
2¢+13¢$4722/11Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 4+13¢2¢
$4722/11
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on November 4
0¢+22¢$6732/7Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on November 4+22¢0¢
$6732/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs18 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 29% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+32 new YES$225+52 new NO$1.1K
$153 of this was bought on both sides by the same 15 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales18 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$19 of $228 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $60·NO $149YES Team
Total Invested
$70
Avg Win Rate
59.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$8(+11.9%)
Whales
4
B
Bilberry🥇hedged
Entry 15¢·311.6 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$45
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $45 · WR 56.8%
F
fildoro🥈
Entry 21¢·94.8 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $20 · WR 65.4%
N
newbie147🥉
Entry 9¢·30 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $3 · WR 71.1%
G
ghlhjkehedged
Entry 22¢·9.3 shares·also $55 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 56.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$322
Avg Win Rate
71.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$15(+4.8%)
Whales
18
T
twobonclay🥇
Entry 78¢·83.1 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $65 · WR 57.0%
G
ghlhjke🥈hedged
Entry 82¢·66.9 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$55
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $55 · WR 56.9%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 81¢·50 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $41 · WR 88.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 84¢·39.8 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $33 · WR 86.2%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 91¢·30 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $27 · WR 87.0%
M
melchior1248
Entry 86¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
—
—INV $17 · WR 69.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 79¢·19.9 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $16 · WR 72.1%
G
god83743894
Entry 83¢·13.1 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $11 · WR 86.1%
T
TakeYourTemperature
Entry 78¢·11.5 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 64.6%
T
tmfcosta
Entry 86¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 63.3%
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