YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$1.3K
72 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 66 traders · 2 on both sides
Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 4?
11 MARKETS · $7.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on November 4
0¢+20¢$1.1K1/4Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on November 4+20¢0¢
$1.1K1/4
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on November 4
0¢+38¢$9223/5Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on November 4+38¢0¢
$9223/5
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on November 4
0¢+43¢$3133/4Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on November 4+43¢0¢
$3133/4
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on November 4
1¢+26¢$2893/8Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on November 4+26¢1¢
$2893/8
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 4←
12¢+17¢$1.3K5/12Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 4←+17¢12¢
$1.3K5/12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 4
55¢−28¢$9494/11Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 4−28¢55¢
$9494/11
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 4
31¢−8¢$1.2K3/10Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 4−8¢31¢
$1.2K3/10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 4
5¢+14¢$7433/13Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 4+14¢5¢
$7433/13
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 4
1¢+37¢$2423/5Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 4+37¢1¢
$2423/5
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs16 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 45% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 6 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+34 new YES$219+49 new NO$1.1K
$170 of this was bought on both sides by the same 16 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales15 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$8 of $105 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $43·NO $54YES Team
Total Invested
$47
Avg Win Rate
59.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-13.4%)
Whales
7
B
Bilberry🥇
Entry 18¢·179.7 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $32 · WR 56.8%
F
0xf43e3787...🥈
Entry 19¢·22.3 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 62.9%
N
Near-Science🥉
Entry 13¢·29.5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 58.6%
W
whhiskyhedged
Entry 17¢·21.2 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
70.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 70.7%
N
newbie147
Entry 9¢·30 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 71.1%
W
w9383
Entry 15¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 63.2%
H
Hasty-Workerhedged
Entry 9¢·2 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 60.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$173
Avg Win Rate
74.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$30(+17.3%)
Whales
16
T
TakeYourTemperature🥇
Entry 84¢·36.5 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $31 · WR 64.6%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 87¢·30 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $26 · WR 88.2%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 40¢·56.4 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $23 · WR 88.0%
M
melchior1248
Entry 87¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $17 · WR 69.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 87¢·17.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $15 · WR 79.7%
W
whhiskyhedged
Entry 89¢·12.1 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
70.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $11 · WR 70.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 89¢·12 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $11 · WR 87.7%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 85¢·9.8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 60.3%
O
Overjoyed-Trader
Entry 81¢·8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 59.4%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 85¢·7 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 60.1%
Showing top 10 of 16
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