YES Price
52¢
52% implied
NO Price
48¢
48% implied
Volume
$838
48 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 43 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Warsaw on November 3?
11 MARKETS · $5.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 3
14¢—$8610/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 3—14¢
$8610/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on November 3
1¢—$2610/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on November 3—1¢
$2610/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on November 3
0¢—$2780/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on November 3—0¢
$2780/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C or higher on November 3
0¢—$4470/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C or higher on November 3—0¢
$4470/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C or below on November 3
0¢—$9500/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C or below on November 3—0¢
$9500/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on November 3
0¢—$1550/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on November 3—0¢
$1550/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 3
1¢—$3050/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 3—1¢
$3050/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 3
1¢—$2480/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 3—1¢
$2480/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 3
3¢—$3040/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 3—3¢
$3040/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs10 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 93% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 51%· net of hedges
+25 new YES$409+28 new NO$422
$125 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$18 of $165 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $136·NO $11YES Team
Total Invested
$145
Avg Win Rate
57.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$26(+17.9%)
Whales
5
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇
Entry 44¢·225.1 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $99 · WR 56.2%
A
AuspiciousWolf🥈
Entry 48¢·67.6 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $33 · WR 58.8%
T
twobonclay🥉hedged
Entry 45¢·20 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 56.3%
N
newbie147
Entry 9¢·30 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $3 · WR 71.1%
T
thunderfrog
Entry 47¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 74.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$104
Avg Win Rate
80.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$9(-8.7%)
Whales
10
G
god83743894🥇
Entry 52¢·87.2 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $45 · WR 86.0%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 55¢·30 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $17 · WR 88.6%
T
twobonclay🥉hedged
Entry 55¢·21.1 shares·also $9 on YES
Invested
$12
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 · WR 56.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 54¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 79.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 55¢·10.4 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 86.8%
B
Bilberry
Entry 55¢·8.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 56.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 58¢·7.6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 86.1%
F
0xf43e3787...
Entry 56¢·3.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 63.2%
5
0x50ab40b1...
Entry 54¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 55.3%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 53¢·2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 66.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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