YES Price
41¢
41% implied
NO Price
59¢
59% implied
Volume
$115.8K
626 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 201 traders · 5 on both sides
Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat
11 MARKETS · $116.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Game Spread: Joel Schwaerzler (-0.5) vs Jan Kumstat (+0.5)
51¢—$00/0Game Spread: Joel Schwaerzler (-0.5) vs Jan Kumstat (+0.5)—51¢
$00/0
Set 2 Winner: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat
72¢—$00/0Set 2 Winner: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat—72¢
$00/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs14 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 37% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 13 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 55%· net of hedges
+129 new YES$57.2K+132 new NO$66.5K
$26.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 64 buyers — left out of momentum
15 smart whales17 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 49% of the money is not a bet
$4.5K of $9.0K is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $1.7K·NO $2.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.9K
Avg Win Rate
57.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.0K(-51.8%)
Whales
12
U
UpTheBlues🥇hedged
Entry 47¢·4,360.5 shares·also $3.0K on NO
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-1027
$-1027INV $2.1K · WR 56.2%
V
Val99977🥈
Entry 54¢·1,613 shares
Invested
$870
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-491
$-491INV $870 · WR 59.7%
V
VeryLucky888🥉
Entry 51¢·1,462.9 shares
Invested
$747
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-403
$-403INV $747 · WR 58.2%
I
Irresponsible-Autumnhedged
Entry 45¢·288.1 shares·also $187 on NO
Invested
$130
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $130 · WR 59.0%
V
Varitoo29
Entry 45¢·124.3 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $57 · WR 58.3%
N
NM-UAThedged
Entry 49¢·59.7 shares·also $36 on NO
Invested
$29
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $29 · WR 60.1%
N
noshatyperhedged
Entry 36¢·50 shares·also $31 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 61.1%
F
funfacts
Entry 57¢·19.3 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $11 · WR 60.1%
O
ojghedged
Entry 36¢·30 shares·also $245 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $11 · WR 55.6%
T
theprimegoat
Entry 65¢·7.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 62.1%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.1K
Avg Win Rate
57.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.4K(+47.4%)
Whales
14
U
UpTheBlues🥇hedged
Entry 51¢·5,913.4 shares·also $2.1K on YES
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$1482
+$1482INV $3.0K · WR 56.2%
T
thestingsnake🥈
Entry 48¢·1,560.9 shares
Invested
$745
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$449
+$449INV $745 · WR 62.2%
Q
qrup🥉
Entry 57¢·542 shares
Invested
$307
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$108
+$108INV $307 · WR 65.9%
E
Eulhunterhedged
Entry 54¢·552.3 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$297
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$126
+$126INV $297 · WR 55.1%
O
ojghedged
Entry 75¢·328.1 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$245
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $245 · WR 55.6%
T
TRCM◆Proven
Entry 38¢·500 shares
Invested
$191
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$192
+$192INV $191 · WR 56.0%
I
Irresponsible-Autumnhedged
Entry 63¢·297.8 shares·also $130 on YES
Invested
$187
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $187 · WR 59.0%
N
NM-UAThedged
Entry 55¢·66.7 shares·also $29 on YES
Invested
$36
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $36 · WR 60.1%
N
noshatyperhedged
Entry 62¢·50 shares·also $18 on YES
Invested
$31
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $31 · WR 61.1%
W
witchwatch
Entry 72¢·28.2 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $20 · WR 58.3%
Showing top 10 of 14
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