35 days left
Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m?
YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$10.8K
234 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 127 traders
"Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office
5 MARKETS · $21.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m←
28¢−16¢$10.8K2/15Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m←−16¢28¢
$10.8K2/15
Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 110m and 130m
42¢−18¢$3.8K4/13Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 110m and 130m−18¢42¢
$3.8K4/13
Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 90m
13¢−13¢$2.0K0/11Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 90m−13¢13¢
$2.0K0/11
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs15 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 28¢
YES 6%NO 94%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 28¢
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 2 · 3
YES 2· $108NO 3· $183one dot = one wallet, whatever its stake
2 wallets on YES
3 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated under an hour ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $781 is directional: YES $5·NO $776YES Team
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
73.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-50.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
67.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$236(+21.9%)
Whales
15
R
Red781RuM🥇
Entry 63¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$632
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$93
+$93INV $632 · WR 56.6%
C
cat-dog◆Proven🥈
Entry 53¢·263.2 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $140 · WR 80.6%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 56¢·184.7 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $103 · WR 89.0%
L
lpgb
Entry 47¢·85.9 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
72.5%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $40 · WR 72.5%
M
melchior1248
Entry 59¢·61.2 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $36 · WR 70.1%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 59¢·50 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $30 · WR 79.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 49¢·50 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $24 · WR 88.5%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 65¢·30 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $20 · WR 86.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 51¢·37.2 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $19 · WR 86.1%
A
alex20011
Entry 76¢·22.4 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $17 · WR 74.9%
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