417 days left

Will Anthropic sell less than 4% of its shares in its IPO?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

13¢

13% implied

NO Price

87¢

87% implied

Volume

$3.4K

94 trades

Smart Whales

22

of 62 traders

What % of Anthropic will be sold in its IPO?

10 MARKETS · $32.3K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will Anthropic sell less than 4% of its shares in its IPO←

13¢−5¢$3.4K1/12

Will Anthropic sell less than 4% of its shares in its IPO←−5¢13¢

Will Anthropic sell between 4% and 5% of its shares in its IPO

13¢+8¢$7.7K3/11

Will Anthropic sell between 4% and 5% of its shares in its IPO+8¢13¢

Will Anthropic sell between 5% and 6% of its shares in its IPO

16¢+1¢$12.3K2/10

Will Anthropic sell between 5% and 6% of its shares in its IPO+1¢16¢

Will Anthropic sell between 6% and 7% of its shares in its IPO

48¢−6¢$2.7K5/7

Will Anthropic sell between 6% and 7% of its shares in its IPO−6¢48¢

Will Anthropic sell between 7% and 8% of its shares in its IPO

8¢+12¢$8742/8

Will Anthropic sell between 7% and 8% of its shares in its IPO+12¢8¢

Will Anthropic sell between 8% and 9% of its shares in its IPO

2¢+15¢$1.7K2/10

Will Anthropic sell between 8% and 9% of its shares in its IPO+15¢2¢

Will Anthropic sell between 9% and 10% of its shares in its IPO

3¢−3¢$8230/10

Will Anthropic sell between 9% and 10% of its shares in its IPO−3¢3¢

Will Anthropic sell between 10% and 11% of its shares in its IPO

3¢+5¢$9121/11

Will Anthropic sell between 10% and 11% of its shares in its IPO+5¢3¢

Will Anthropic sell between 11% and 12% of its shares in its IPO

0¢+56¢$4465/4

Will Anthropic sell between 11% and 12% of its shares in its IPO+56¢0¢

Will Anthropic sell at least 12% of its shares in its IPO

1¢+9¢$1.4K1/9

Will Anthropic sell at least 12% of its shares in its IPO+9¢1¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs19 NO

14%86%

86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 5 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges

+14 new YES$169+19 new NO$930

$48 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum

1 smart whale13 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $456 is directional: YES $1·NO $456

YES Team

Total Invested

$31

Avg Win Rate

77.4%

Aggregate P&L

-$23(-74.7%)

Whales

3

wuwuwuwuwu11🥇hedged

Entry 59¢·50 shares·also $35 on NO

$-23INV $29 · WR 78.1%

Pure-Eyeliner🥈

Entry 13¢·10.2 shares

$-0INV $1 · WR 57.7%

Entry 8¢·8 shares

$-0INV $1 · WR 87.6%

NO Team

Total Invested

$1.1K

Avg Win Rate

73.1%

Aggregate P&L

+$101(+9.3%)

Whales

19

Entry 82¢·494 shares

+$64INV $403 · WR 60.0%

northdrawer🥈

Entry 88¢·225 shares

$-1INV $198 · WR 87.5%

smallreceipt🥉

Entry 83¢·97.3 shares

+$5INV $80 · WR 88.6%

Entry 77¢·90.2 shares

+$10INV $69 · WR 70.9%

Entry 81¢·74.5 shares

+$5INV $61 · WR 71.9%

Entry 81¢·75 shares

+$5INV $61 · WR 79.6%

Entry 88¢·60 shares

$-0INV $53 · WR 70.0%

wuwuwuwuwu11hedged

Entry 71¢·50 shares·also $29 on YES

+$8INV $35 · WR 78.1%

Entry 88¢·40 shares

+$2INV $35 · WR 84.4%

Entry 77¢·30 shares

+$3INV $23 · WR 86.0%

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Smart money 14% YES: Anthropic sell less than 4% of its…