YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$764
48 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 40 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 1?
11 MARKETS · $10.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on November 1
0¢+50¢$1.4K1/1Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on November 1+50¢0¢
$1.4K1/1
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 1
0¢+67¢$1.4K2/1Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 1+67¢0¢
$1.4K2/1
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 1
0¢+67¢$8802/1Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 1+67¢0¢
$8802/1
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 1
1¢+32¢$3051/2Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 1+32¢1¢
$3051/2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 1
11¢+39¢$6382/2Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 1+39¢11¢
$6382/2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 1
33¢+11¢$1.8K4/5Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 1+11¢33¢
$1.8K4/5
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 1
42¢−2¢$6924/6Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 1−2¢42¢
$6924/6
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 1
11¢+46¢$1.1K4/3Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 1+46¢11¢
$1.1K4/3
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 1←
1¢+42¢$7643/4Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 1←+42¢1¢
$7643/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs14 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$7+26 new NO$740
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $292 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $3·NO $284YES Team
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
70.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-85.7%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$346
Avg Win Rate
80.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+0.4%)
Whales
14
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 100¢·125 shares
Invested
$124
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $124 · WR 88.6%
B
balthazar🥈hedged
Entry 99¢·53.3 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$53
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $53 · WR 72.0%
S
SoW-yiyi🥉
Entry 96¢·35.5 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $34 · WR 75.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 98¢·32 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $32 · WR 86.0%
C
CampruCali
Entry 99¢·30.3 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
95.4%
Position P&L
—
—INV $30 · WR 95.4%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 100¢·12.3 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $12 · WR 59.6%
G
ghiwnp538712
Entry 98¢·12 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
92.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $12 · WR 92.2%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 100¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 60.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 88.0%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 100¢·9.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 59.9%
Showing top 10 of 14
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 199ms