Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on November 1?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$1.9K
131 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 90 traders · 1 on both sides
Lowest temperature in Paris on November 1?
11 MARKETS · $7.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 0°C or below on November 1
1¢+66¢$1484/2Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 0°C or below on November 1+66¢1¢
$1484/2
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C or higher on November 1
0¢0¢$820/2Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C or higher on November 10¢0¢
$820/2
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 1°C on November 1
0¢+50¢$1933/3Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 1°C on November 1+50¢0¢
$1933/3
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C on November 1
1¢+49¢$1853/3Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C on November 1+49¢1¢
$1853/3
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on November 1
3¢+22¢$1.2K3/9Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on November 1+22¢3¢
$1.2K3/9
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on November 1←
10¢+26¢$1.9K5/9Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on November 1←+26¢10¢
$1.9K5/9
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 1
93¢−64¢$3.1K2/5Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 1−64¢93¢
$3.1K2/5
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 1
0¢+25¢$5782/6Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 1+25¢0¢
$5782/6
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on November 1
0¢+33¢$3352/4Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on November 1+33¢0¢
$3352/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs10 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 26% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 53%· net of hedges
+40 new YES$288+29 new NO$260
$134 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $189 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $48·NO $136YES Team
Total Invested
$50
Avg Win Rate
61.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$12(-23.8%)
Whales
5
W
wallingj13🥇
Entry 41¢·50.1 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $20 · WR 64.5%
T
twobonclay🥈
Entry 48¢·42.3 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $20 · WR 56.3%
W
Weird-Holder◆Proven🥉
Entry 16¢·25 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
76.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $4 · WR 76.5%
8
88888801
Entry 54¢·5.3 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 61.0%
D
dub2-CFhedged
Entry 51¢·5.2 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 57.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$246
Avg Win Rate
69.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$81(+33.0%)
Whales
10
B
Bilberry🥇
Entry 57¢·192.6 shares
Invested
$109
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $109 · WR 56.9%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 57¢·50 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $29 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 76¢·30 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $23 · WR 88.0%
J
Jolly-Particle
Entry 98¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
93.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $20 · WR 93.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 60¢·30 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $18 · WR 72.0%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 49¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $15 · WR 86.8%
H
HellYeahTrader
Entry 49¢·22 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $11 · WR 56.9%
D
dub2-CFhedged
Entry 52¢·20.5 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $11 · WR 57.3%
S
sb896345
Entry 50¢·15.8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $8 · WR 65.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 46¢·8.7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $4 · WR 89.1%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 263ms