YES Price
30¢
30% implied
NO Price
70¢
70% implied
Volume
$865
72 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 59 traders
Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 30?
11 MARKETS · $7.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C or below on October 30
0¢—$4530/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C or below on October 30—0¢
$4530/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 30
3¢—$4450/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 30—3¢
$4450/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 30
14¢—$9030/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 30—14¢
$9030/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 30
36¢—$8600/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 30—36¢
$8600/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30←
30¢—$8650/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30←—30¢
$8650/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 30
13¢—$8420/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 30—13¢
$8420/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 30
5¢—$3940/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 30—5¢
$3940/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 30
3¢—$4780/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 30—3¢
$4780/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 30
1¢—$6640/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 30—1¢
$6640/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs9 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 78%· net of hedges
+37 new YES$240+34 new NO$606
$186 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $63 is directional: YES $10·NO $53YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
76.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$5(+50.0%)
Whales
5
C
cryptotradernpc🥇
Entry 24¢·20 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 83.1%
M
mustbethewater🥈
Entry 9¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $2 · WR 79.5%
W
w9383🥉
Entry 31¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 63.4%
S
SoW-yiyi
Entry 33¢·3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 75.7%
G
Gullible-Invasion-Provider
Entry 27¢·3.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 60.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$196
Avg Win Rate
79.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$13(-6.8%)
Whales
9
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 77¢·70.8 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $55 · WR 86.0%
L
Lanky-Interval-Xylophone🥈
Entry 75¢·60 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $45 · WR 61.1%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 76¢·30 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $23 · WR 88.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 76¢·30 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $23 · WR 88.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 73¢·30 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $22 · WR 86.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 76¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $15 · WR 89.1%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 74¢·8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 59.8%
H
hamid1919
Entry 76¢·6.6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
74.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 74.7%
N
Near-Science
Entry 74¢·3.5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 59.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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