YES Price
73¢
73% implied
NO Price
27¢
27% implied
Volume
$336.6K
1,928 trades
Smart Whales
39
of 316 traders · 15 on both sides
Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna
15 MARKETS · $336.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Game Spread: Juan Manuel La Serna (-1.5) vs Nick Hardt (+1.5)
50¢—$100/0Game Spread: Juan Manuel La Serna (-1.5) vs Nick Hardt (+1.5)—50¢
$100/0
Guayaquil: Completed Match: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna
53¢—$00/0Guayaquil: Completed Match: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna—53¢
$00/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
24 YESvs30 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 65% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 20 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 60%· net of hedges
+236 new YES$178.7K+197 new NO$215.6K
$208.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 128 buyers — left out of momentum
29 smart whales34 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 77% of the money is not a bet
$17.3K of $22.3K is hedged across different prices by 15 wallets. True directional: YES $3.3K·NO $1.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$15.6K
Avg Win Rate
62.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$16.8K(+107.7%)
Whales
24
I
Irresponsible-Autumn🥇hedged
Entry 54¢·14,544.6 shares·also $7.8K on NO
Invested
$7.9K
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$4972
+$4972INV $7.9K · WR 59.3%
0
01258787xy48487484545122🥈hedged
Entry 24¢·15,166.9 shares·also $10.8K on NO
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$7335
+$7335INV $3.7K · WR 68.6%
T
thestingsnake🥉hedged
Entry 43¢·2,724.2 shares·also $53 on NO
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$1242
+$1242INV $1.2K · WR 62.0%
R
rocket2themoon
Entry 37¢·1,587.7 shares
Invested
$587
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$818
+$818INV $587 · WR 58.1%
M
MrDouche◆Proven
Entry 37¢·1,604.8 shares
Invested
$587
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$834
+$834INV $587 · WR 84.6%
U
User7429
Entry 43¢·1,157.1 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$524
+$524INV $500 · WR 58.1%
D
Definite-Avocadohedged
Entry 43¢·1,003.2 shares·also $279 on NO
Invested
$434
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$454
+$454INV $434 · WR 55.5%
E
Eulhunterhedged
Entry 36¢·655.6 shares·also $163 on NO
Invested
$234
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$346
+$346INV $234 · WR 55.1%
1
1lovejumphedged
Entry 65¢·236.4 shares·also $53 on NO
Invested
$153
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $153 · WR 55.6%
N
NM-UAThedged
Entry 54¢·164.5 shares·also $93 on NO
Invested
$88
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $88 · WR 60.1%
Showing top 10 of 24
NO Team
Total Invested
$21.2K
Avg Win Rate
64.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$14.9K(-70.4%)
Whales
30
0
01258787xy48487484545122🥇hedged
Entry 71¢·15,166.9 shares·also $3.7K on YES
Invested
$10.8K
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-6598
$-6598INV $10.8K · WR 68.6%
I
Irresponsible-Autumn🥈hedged
Entry 58¢·13,569.1 shares·also $7.9K on YES
Invested
$7.8K
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-6275
$-6275INV $7.8K · WR 59.3%
C
Calm-Ikebana🥉
Entry 73¢·1,355.2 shares
Invested
$986
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
$-831
$-831INV $986 · WR 71.1%
D
Definite-Avocadohedged
Entry 60¢·466 shares·also $434 on YES
Invested
$279
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-226
$-226INV $279 · WR 55.5%
E
Eulhunterhedged
Entry 36¢·458 shares·also $234 on YES
Invested
$163
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-110
$-110INV $163 · WR 55.1%
S
Square-Complicity
Entry 57¢·255.6 shares
Invested
$145
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-116
$-116INV $145 · WR 58.7%
C
crispy-avocado
Entry 59¢·207 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-98
$-98INV $122 · WR 60.5%
B
berlinskies
Entry 73¢·167.6 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-102
$-102INV $122 · WR 58.8%
N
NM-UAThedged
Entry 55¢·168.2 shares·also $88 on YES
Invested
$93
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-74
$-74INV $93 · WR 60.1%
T
Tasty-Burning
Entry 59¢·155.2 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-74
$-74INV $92 · WR 56.1%
Showing top 10 of 30
Smart Whale Trades
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