YES Price
45¢
45% implied
NO Price
55¢
55% implied
Volume
$1.6K
76 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 68 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Manila on October 27?
11 MARKETS · $5.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on October 27
0¢0¢$2300/5Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on October 270¢0¢
$2300/5
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 27
0¢+14¢$3381/6Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 27+14¢0¢
$3381/6
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 27
1¢−1¢$2300/6Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 27−1¢1¢
$2300/6
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 27
7¢+26¢$6503/6Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 27+26¢7¢
$6503/6
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 27←
45¢−34¢$1.6K1/8Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 27←−34¢45¢
$1.6K1/8
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 27
43¢−33¢$1.6K1/9Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 27−33¢43¢
$1.6K1/9
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 27
5¢−5¢$4210/7Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 27−5¢5¢
$4210/7
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on October 27
1¢−1¢$2580/7Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on October 27−1¢1¢
$2580/7
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on October 27
1¢−1¢$1940/5Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on October 27−1¢1¢
$1940/5
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs13 NO
24%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 53%· net of hedges
+41 new YES$807+41 new NO$754
$518 of this was bought on both sides by the same 13 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$10 of $56 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $42·NO $3YES Team
Total Invested
$49
Avg Win Rate
57.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+3.4%)
Whales
4
T
twobonclay🥇hedged
Entry 43¢·53.5 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$23
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $23 · WR 57.8%
2
241532532432◆Proven🥈
Entry 44¢·44 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $19 · WR 56.6%
B
Bilberry🥉
Entry 43¢·11.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 57.5%
N
Near-Science
Entry 47¢·3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 59.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$113
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+1.5%)
Whales
13
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 53¢·50 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $27 · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 53¢·32.2 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $17 · WR 87.6%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 55¢·30 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
—
—INV $17 · WR 72.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 55¢·30 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
—
—INV $17 · WR 88.0%
Z
zua
Entry 62¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 85.1%
T
twobonclayhedged
Entry 49¢·10.6 shares·also $23 on YES
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 57.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 49¢·10.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 79.6%
L
luciebot
Entry 62¢·7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 82.3%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 53¢·8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 84.4%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 53¢·5.6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 86.5%
Showing top 10 of 13
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 202ms