YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$1.4K
81 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 50 traders · 1 on both sides
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on October 27?
11 MARKETS · $5.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -1°C on October 27←
50¢−25¢$1.4K2/6Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -1°C on October 27←−25¢50¢
$1.4K2/6
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -2°C on October 27
10¢+10¢$6421/4Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -2°C on October 27+10¢10¢
$6421/4
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -3°C on October 27
1¢—$230/0Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -3°C on October 27—1¢
$230/0
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -4°C on October 27
1¢—$230/0Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -4°C on October 27—1¢
$230/0
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -5°C or below on October 27
1¢−1¢$230/1Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -5°C or below on October 27−1¢1¢
$230/1
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 0°C on October 27
34¢+4¢$1.5K3/5Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 0°C on October 27+4¢34¢
$1.5K3/5
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C on October 27
14¢+6¢$8561/4Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C on October 27+6¢14¢
$8561/4
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on October 27
3¢+26¢$7892/5Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on October 27+26¢3¢
$7892/5
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on October 27
1¢−1¢$730/1Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on October 27−1¢1¢
$730/1
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs9 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 45% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$242+29 new NO$685
$168 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 26% of the money is not a bet
$74 of $281 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $93·NO $115YES Team
Total Invested
$130
Avg Win Rate
58.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$53(+41.1%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$151
Avg Win Rate
76.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$18(-11.6%)
Whales
9
L
lucikdemon🥇hedged
Entry 91¢·40.6 shares·also $104 on YES
Invested
$37
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $37 · WR 58.9%
W
weatherBear🥈
Entry 92¢·31 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
96.5%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $29 · WR 96.5%
G
giuselon🥉
Entry 62¢·45.7 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $28 · WR 68.0%
Y
yellowpp
Entry 84¢·25 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $21 · WR 75.2%
M
Metamon
Entry 90¢·17 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
97.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $15 · WR 97.9%
T
tribunal
Entry 76¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 77.8%
H
hamid1919
Entry 63¢·8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
74.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 74.7%
V
VantagePoint-YT
Entry 82¢·6.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 82.7%
W
Welcome2026
Entry 80¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 57.4%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 300ms