YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$4.9K
63 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 57 traders · 4 on both sides
Highest temperature in Manila on October 25?
11 MARKETS · $8.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on October 25
0¢—$1150/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on October 25—0¢
$1150/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on October 25
1¢—$500/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on October 25—1¢
$500/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 25
1¢—$2620/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 25—1¢
$2620/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 25
9¢—$5240/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 25—9¢
$5240/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 25
58¢—$8010/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 25—58¢
$8010/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 25←
28¢—$4.9K0/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 25←—28¢
$4.9K0/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 25
5¢—$5010/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 25—5¢
$5010/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 25
1¢—$3330/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 25—1¢
$3330/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on October 25
1¢—$2820/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on October 25—1¢
$2820/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs12 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 5 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 67%· net of hedges
+40 new YES$1.7K+35 new NO$3.3K
$348 of this was bought on both sides by the same 17 buyers — left out of momentum
8 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 37% of the money is not a bet
$166 of $448 is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $4·NO $279YES Team
Total Invested
$87
Avg Win Rate
57.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$16(-18.5%)
Whales
7
6
0x65f7226a...🥇hedged
Entry 33¢·219.3 shares·also $331 on NO
Invested
$73
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $73 · WR 56.2%
T
twobonclay🥈hedged
Entry 29¢·24 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 60.3%
N
Neglected-Impress🥉hedged
Entry 37¢·5 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 56.6%
O
Overjoyed-Trader
Entry 34¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 66.1%
T
thunderfroghedged
Entry 38¢·3.3 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
76.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 76.4%
S
SoW-yiyi
Entry 42¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 76.3%
W
Welcome2026
Entry 38¢·2.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 57.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$560
Avg Win Rate
66.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$76(+13.6%)
Whales
12
6
0x65f7226a...🥇hedged
Entry 64¢·520 shares·also $73 on YES
Invested
$331
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $331 · WR 56.2%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 65¢·120 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $78 · WR 86.1%
K
korda77🥉
Entry 67¢·95 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $64 · WR 85.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 64¢·60 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $38 · WR 72.1%
G
glm4.1.fund
Entry 54¢·30 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $16 · WR 85.9%
A
AuspiciousWolf
Entry 68¢·13.8 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 60.5%
H
hanabf
Entry 70¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 76.3%
T
twobonclayhedged
Entry 66¢·10.3 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$7
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 60.3%
N
Neglected-Impresshedged
Entry 62¢·5 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 56.6%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 60¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 87.9%
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