YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$935
82 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 55 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 24?
11 MARKETS · $3.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on October 24
1¢—$950/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on October 24—1¢
$950/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on October 24
1¢—$950/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on October 24—1¢
$950/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 24
1¢—$950/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 24—1¢
$950/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 24
1¢—$950/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 24—1¢
$950/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 24
0¢—$810/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 24—0¢
$810/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 24
6¢—$3580/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 24—6¢
$3580/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 24
43¢—$8740/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 24—43¢
$8740/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 24
33¢—$6690/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 24—33¢
$6690/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 24←
12¢—$9350/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 24←—12¢
$9350/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs12 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+28 new YES$186+36 new NO$830
$147 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 32% of the money is not a bet
$50 of $156 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $3·NO $103YES Team
Total Invested
$28
Avg Win Rate
59.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$12(-41.8%)
Whales
3
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇hedged
Entry 22¢·114.7 shares·also $88 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $25 · WR 58.7%
O
Overjoyed-Trader🥈
Entry 20¢·10 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 66.2%
N
Near-Science🥉
Entry 14¢·6.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 60.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$273
Avg Win Rate
72.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$25(+9.0%)
Whales
12
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇hedged
Entry 79¢·111.5 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$88
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $88 · WR 58.7%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 84¢·85 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $71 · WR 88.1%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 87¢·45 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $39 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 84¢·30 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $25 · WR 72.1%
T
twobonclay
Entry 79¢·30.9 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $24 · WR 59.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 87¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 86.1%
P
pyckwyk
Entry 88¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 58.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 84¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 66.6%
I
Insignificant-Chapter
Entry 63¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 62.7%
W
weatherwhat
Entry 88¢·3.4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 57.0%
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