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Politics39 days left

Will PP win the most seats in Ávila in the 2026 Spanish general election?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
46¢
46% implied
NO Price
54¢
54% implied
Volume
$60
23 trades
Smart Whales
4
of 19 traders · 1 on both sides

Spain General Election: Ávila Winner

57 MARKETS · $69.0K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs2 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 84%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$513+17 new NO$146
$113 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $366 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $364·NO $0
YES Team
Total Invested
$365
Avg Win Rate
85.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$37(+10.0%)
Whales
3
A
archaic🥇
Entry 78¢·436 shares
+$36INV $339 · WR 86.6%
A
0xa169f83d...🥈hedged
Entry 82¢·17.6 shares·also $1 on NO
+$1INV $14 · WR 69.7%
T
tzquantalpha001🥉
Entry 86¢·13.3 shares
—INV $11 · WR 66.5%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 60% YES: PP win the most seats in Ávila…