YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$940
61 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 49 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Manila on October 23?
5 MARKETS · $1.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 23
1¢+39¢$2182/3Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 23+39¢1¢
$2182/3
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 23←
14¢+53¢$9406/3Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 23←+53¢14¢
$9406/3
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 23
1¢+49¢$1973/3Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 23+49¢1¢
$1973/3
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs10 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 3 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+37 new YES$257+25 new NO$886
$272 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $255 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $14·NO $238YES Team
Total Invested
$16
Avg Win Rate
65.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-16.3%)
Whales
7
2
241532532432◆Proven🥇
Entry 18¢·29 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 57.4%
A
Alex.17🥈
Entry 25¢·12.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 79.8%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 9¢·24.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 79.7%
W
weatherwhathedged
Entry 25¢·8 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 57.0%
N
Near-Science
Entry 15¢·11 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 60.4%
B
bhuumi
Entry 29¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.7%
F
fabres04
Entry 17¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 66.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$264
Avg Win Rate
61.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$218(+82.6%)
Whales
10
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇
Entry 71¢·318.2 shares
Invested
$227
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $227 · WR 58.7%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 82¢·30 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $24 · WR 87.7%
S
sailor82🥉
Entry 78¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 69.4%
T
trader-cb01cb0d
Entry 77¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 60.6%
W
weatherwhathedged
Entry 82¢·1.2 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 0¢·14.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $0 · WR 87.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 0¢·79.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $0 · WR 72.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 0¢·40 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $0 · WR 88.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 0¢·45 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $0 · WR 88.9%
X
xiaoxiaocangying
Entry 0¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $0 · WR 84.1%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 974ms