YES Price
22¢
22% implied
NO Price
78¢
78% implied
Volume
$787
80 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 60 traders · 2 on both sides
Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 23?
8 MARKETS · $8.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 23
6¢−6¢$5.9K0/7Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 23−6¢6¢
$5.9K0/7
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 23
0¢—$2600/0Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 23—0¢
$2600/0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 23
1¢—$420/0Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 23—1¢
$420/0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 23
3¢−3¢$2260/1Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 23−3¢3¢
$2260/1
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 23←
22¢+18¢$7872/3Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 23←+18¢22¢
$7872/3
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 23
40¢−40¢$3270/1Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 23−40¢40¢
$3270/1
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs9 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 37% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 78%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$145+30 new NO$373
$111 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$9 of $106 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $35·NO $61YES Team
Total Invested
$40
Avg Win Rate
61.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+21.4%)
Whales
3
T
twobonclay🥇hedged
Entry 23¢·127 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$29
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $29 · WR 59.1%
S
SoW-yiyi🥈
Entry 24¢·28.7 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
76.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 76.4%
W
weatherwhat🥉hedged
Entry 29¢·13.8 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 57.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$90
Avg Win Rate
63.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+3.5%)
Whales
9
B
Bilberry🥇
Entry 66¢·45.6 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $30 · WR 57.8%
K
kerbrerv🥈
Entry 79¢·30.4 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $24 · WR 62.5%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 64¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $13 · WR 79.7%
H
heyhighhui2
Entry 78¢·14.5 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $11 · WR 57.1%
M
megaproton
Entry 79¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
94.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 94.4%
T
twobonclayhedged
Entry 67¢·5.2 shares·also $29 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 59.1%
F
0xf43e3787...
Entry 67¢·3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 64.7%
W
weatherwhathedged
Entry 65¢·1.5 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.0%
D
0xde0d8c84...
Entry 67¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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