26 days left

GitHub.com critical incident by November 15, 2026?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

76¢

76% implied

NO Price

24¢

24% implied

Volume

$503

22 trades

Smart Whales

of 19 traders

GitHub.com critical incident by...?

3 MARKETS · $2.2K MATCHED

Smart Money

by October 23, 2026

99¢−32¢$7822/1

by October 23, 2026−32¢99¢

$7822/1

by October 31, 2026

76¢+24¢$9651/0

by October 31, 2026+24¢76¢

$9651/0

by November 15, 2026←

76¢−26¢$5031/1

by November 15, 2026←−26¢76¢

$5031/1

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs1 NO

67%33%

67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowYES momentum 90%· net of hedges

+13 new YES$348+14 new NO$45

$19 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum

3 smart whales1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $54 is directional: YES $54·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$54

Avg Win Rate

60.9%

Aggregate P&L

-$24(-43.7%)

Whales

$-17INV $40 · WR 62.7%

$-6INV $14 · WR 55.8%

NO Team

Total Invested

Avg Win Rate

55.0%

Aggregate P&L

+$1(+585.7%)

Whales

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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