Geopolitics21 days left

Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 15?

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YES Price

20¢

20% implied

NO Price

80¢

80% implied

Volume

$235

10 trades

Smart Whales

of 11 traders

Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

5 MARKETS · $68.6K MATCHED

Smart Money

by September 30

1¢+16¢$5.0K2/10

by September 30+16¢1¢

by November 30−28¢28¢

$5740/1

by December 31

42¢−17¢$4.2K1/3

by December 31−17¢42¢

$4.2K1/3

by November 15←

20¢+80¢$2351/0

by November 15←+80¢20¢

$2351/0

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Smart Money Consensus

0 YESvs0 NO

No smart whale positions on this market

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges

+2 new YES$22+6 new NO$80

$16 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum

YES Team

Total Invested

Avg Win Rate

unknown

Aggregate P&L

—

Whales

No smart whales on YES

NO Team

Total Invested

Avg Win Rate

unknown

Aggregate P&L

—

Whales

No smart whales on NO

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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