YES Price
49¢
49% implied
NO Price
51¢
51% implied
Volume
$570
56 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 60 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Madrid on October 22?
11 MARKETS · $2.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C or below on October 22
1¢—$460/0Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C or below on October 22—1¢
$460/0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on October 22
1¢—$260/0Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on October 22—1¢
$260/0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on October 22
1¢—$460/0Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on October 22—1¢
$460/0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 22
1¢—$730/0Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 22—1¢
$730/0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 22
1¢−1¢$1220/1Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 22−1¢1¢
$1220/1
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 22
16¢−16¢$3800/5Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 22−16¢16¢
$3800/5
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 22←
49¢−11¢$5703/5Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 22←−11¢49¢
$5703/5
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 22
30¢+3¢$4961/2Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 22+3¢30¢
$4961/2
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 22
1¢−1¢$2000/1Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 22−1¢1¢
$2000/1
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs7 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 69% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 54%· net of hedges
+34 new YES$265+37 new NO$306
$92 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $76 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $49·NO $22YES Team
Total Invested
$58
Avg Win Rate
60.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$4(+7.5%)
Whales
5
T
twobonclay🥇
Entry 47¢·88 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $41 · WR 59.9%
K
krbrv🥈
Entry 53¢·11.3 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 60.4%
W
whhisky🥉
Entry 52¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
—
—INV $5 · WR 70.9%
B
bhuumi
Entry 51¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 60.3%
B
Bilberryhedged
Entry 41¢·6 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 57.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$46
Avg Win Rate
72.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+3.6%)
Whales
7
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 47¢·25.8 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 87.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 47¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 85.9%
B
Bilberry🥉hedged
Entry 47¢·17.4 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 57.9%
H
heyhighhui
Entry 60¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 59.0%
E
0xe6bccaa2...
Entry 47¢·10.6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 55.6%
S
sb896345
Entry 47¢·9.2 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 63.9%
F
0xf43e3787...
Entry 47¢·2.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 65.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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