YES Price
61¢
61% implied
NO Price
39¢
39% implied
Volume
$647
80 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 63 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Beijing on October 21?
11 MARKETS · $3.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C or below on October 21
0¢—$1050/0Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C or below on October 21—0¢
$1050/0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 21
0¢—$1150/0Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 21—0¢
$1150/0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on October 21
0¢—$3550/0Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on October 21—0¢
$3550/0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 21
1¢—$2710/0Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 21—1¢
$2710/0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 21
2¢—$2050/0Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 21—2¢
$2050/0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 21
3¢—$2060/0Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 21—3¢
$2060/0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 21
30¢—$6990/0Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 21—30¢
$6990/0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 21←
61¢—$6470/0Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 21←—61¢
$6470/0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 21
8¢—$1680/0Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 21—8¢
$1680/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs15 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 75% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 56%· net of hedges
+32 new YES$939+45 new NO$778
$355 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
8 smart whales15 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$17 of $490 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $355·NO $118YES Team
Total Invested
$364
Avg Win Rate
58.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$51(+13.9%)
Whales
8
6
0x65f7226a...🥇hedged
Entry 54¢·551.6 shares·also $9 on NO
Invested
$296
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $296 · WR 57.4%
A
AuspiciousWolf🥈
Entry 51¢·51.2 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $26 · WR 60.9%
K
kerbrerv🥉
Entry 54¢·34.4 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $18 · WR 62.7%
R
risto-test1◆Proven
Entry 60¢·16.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 57.3%
K
krbrv
Entry 51¢·12 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 59.7%
M
megaproton
Entry 52¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
94.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 94.7%
N
Neglected-Impress
Entry 52¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 57.1%
T
thunderfrog
Entry 55¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
77.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 77.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$168
Avg Win Rate
74.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$16(-9.5%)
Whales
15
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 48¢·72.2 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $35 · WR 85.9%
N
neverhackme🥈
Entry 39¢·80 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $31 · WR 75.7%
L
LesterDiamond🥉
Entry 37¢·50 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 88.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 37¢·50 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 72.1%
M
Majestic-Diagram
Entry 51¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 58.7%
I
Insignificant-Chapter
Entry 63¢·15 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $9 · WR 62.7%
Z
zarki44
Entry 45¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $9 · WR 66.7%
H
heyhighhui2
Entry 59¢·15 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $9 · WR 62.4%
6
0x65f7226a...hedged
Entry 36¢·24 shares·also $296 on YES
Invested
$9
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 57.4%
W
Wilted-Carbohydrate-Ignorance
Entry 51¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 76.6%
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