Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on October 21?
YES Price
47¢
47% implied
NO Price
53¢
53% implied
Volume
$557
49 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 44 traders · 1 on both sides
Lowest temperature in Paris on October 21?
11 MARKETS · $2.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 21
5¢—$2000/0Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 21—5¢
$2000/0
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 21
1¢—$1550/0Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 21—1¢
$1550/0
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C or higher on October 21
1¢—$1430/0Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C or higher on October 21—1¢
$1430/0
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C or below on October 21
1¢—$1430/0Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C or below on October 21—1¢
$1430/0
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on October 21
1¢—$750/0Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on October 21—1¢
$750/0
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 21
1¢—$1030/0Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 21—1¢
$1030/0
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 21
3¢—$580/0Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 21—3¢
$580/0
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 21
4¢—$1180/0Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 21—4¢
$1180/0
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 21
19¢—$4650/0Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 21—19¢
$4650/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs7 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 27% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 2 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 61%· net of hedges
+27 new YES$268+26 new NO$381
$134 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $183 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $48·NO $130YES Team
Total Invested
$50
Avg Win Rate
59.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+6.9%)
Whales
6
T
twobonclay🥇
Entry 44¢·89 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $39 · WR 58.8%
B
Bilberry🥈
Entry 39¢·9.3 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 58.1%
J
jamestradewads🥉
Entry 52¢·5.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 71.3%
R
risto-test1hedged
Entry 39¢·5.5 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 57.3%
D
0xde0d8c84...
Entry 39¢·2.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 56.8%
F
0xf43e3787...
Entry 39¢·2.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 66.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$147
Avg Win Rate
62.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$8(-5.1%)
Whales
7
T
TunSahur🥇
Entry 56¢·230 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $129 · WR 59.9%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 60¢·8.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 88.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 60¢·5.5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 62¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 87.7%
R
risto-test1hedged
Entry 56¢·5.1 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 57.3%
D
Digi-Dog
Entry 54¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 80.5%
T
trader-cb01cb0d
Entry 61¢·2.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 60.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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