YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$1.8K
93 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 83 traders · 2 on both sides
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 20?
11 MARKETS · $6.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C or below on October 20
0¢0¢$920/1Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C or below on October 200¢0¢
$920/1
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20
0¢—$1090/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20—0¢
$1090/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 20
1¢—$1230/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 20—1¢
$1230/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 20
0¢—$1940/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 20—0¢
$1940/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 20
1¢—$2510/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 20—1¢
$2510/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 20
2¢−2¢$6780/2Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 20−2¢2¢
$6780/2
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 20←
23¢−6¢$1.8K1/5Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 20←−6¢23¢
$1.8K1/5
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 20
53¢+14¢$1.2K2/1Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 20+14¢53¢
$1.2K2/1
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 20
21¢−21¢$8830/1Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 20−21¢21¢
$8830/1
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs10 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 63%· net of hedges
+49 new YES$736+48 new NO$1.1K
$462 of this was bought on both sides by the same 13 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$6 of $421 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $23·NO $392YES Team
Total Invested
$27
Avg Win Rate
60.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$4(+13.6%)
Whales
5
B
Bilberry🥇
Entry 23¢·86.2 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 58.1%
M
mustbethewater🥈
Entry 9¢·35 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $3 · WR 79.6%
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥉hedged
Entry 39¢·5 shares·also $362 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 59.1%
T
twobonclayhedged
Entry 24¢·5.2 shares·also $14 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.8%
E
0xe6bccaa2...
Entry 22¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$464
Avg Win Rate
63.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$109(+23.4%)
Whales
10
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇hedged
Entry 61¢·593.3 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$362
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $362 · WR 59.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 75¢·50 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $38 · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 75¢·42.1 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $32 · WR 87.7%
T
twobonclayhedged
Entry 67¢·20.4 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$14
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $14 · WR 58.8%
R
risto-test1◆Proven
Entry 65¢·9 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 57.3%
2
241532532432◆Proven
Entry 50¢·8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $4 · WR 57.5%
A
ajimmy0801
Entry 62¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 63.6%
H
heyhighhui
Entry 49¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 59.3%
N
Near-Science
Entry 52¢·4.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 60.7%
T
thunderfrog
Entry 75¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
77.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 77.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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