YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$647
39 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 42 traders
Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 20?
11 MARKETS · $3.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 20
0¢—$2330/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 20—0¢
$2330/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 20
4¢—$3590/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 20—4¢
$3590/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 20
20¢—$5940/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 20—20¢
$5940/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 20
40¢—$5360/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 20—40¢
$5360/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 20←
27¢—$6470/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 20←—27¢
$6470/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on October 20
14¢—$3790/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on October 20—14¢
$3790/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C or below on October 20
0¢—$00/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C or below on October 20—0¢
$00/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 20
0¢—$950/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 20—0¢
$950/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 20
0¢—$900/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 20—0¢
$900/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs8 NO
47%53%
53% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 78% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 69%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$196+24 new NO$400
$46 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $94 is directional: YES $73·NO $21YES Team
Total Invested
$73
Avg Win Rate
60.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$11(+14.4%)
Whales
7
6
0x65f7226a...🥇
Entry 25¢·189.5 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $47 · WR 57.3%
A
AuspiciousWolf🥈
Entry 29¢·53.8 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $16 · WR 61.1%
T
twobonclay🥉
Entry 27¢·14 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 63.3%
J
jbutler23
Entry 31¢·11.6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 75.5%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 6¢·35 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $2 · WR 79.6%
T
thunderfrog
Entry 31¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 77.3%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 6¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 89.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$122
Avg Win Rate
81.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$10(+8.5%)
Whales
8
X
xiaoxiaocangying🥇
Entry 58¢·55.5 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $32 · WR 83.9%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 72¢·35.7 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $26 · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 72¢·30 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $22 · WR 72.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 71¢·20.5 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $15 · WR 79.6%
R
Ronenamar5
Entry 70¢·11.6 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 71.4%
D
donthackme
Entry 74¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 87.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 71¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 88.2%
W
Wilted-Carbohydrate-Ignorance
Entry 76¢·7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 76.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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