Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 4°C or below on October 20?
YES Price
57¢
57% implied
NO Price
43¢
43% implied
Volume
$4.6K
69 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 50 traders · 1 on both sides
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on October 20?
11 MARKETS · $5.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C on October 20
20¢—$00/0Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C on October 20—20¢
$00/0
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on October 20
24¢—$00/0Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on October 20—24¢
$00/0
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on October 20
25¢—$270/0Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on October 20—25¢
$270/0
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 20
25¢—$190/0Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 20—25¢
$190/0
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C or higher on October 20
35¢—$3840/0Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C or higher on October 20—35¢
$3840/0
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 4°C or below on October 20←
57¢—$4.6K0/0Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 4°C or below on October 20←—57¢
$4.6K0/0
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 5°C on October 20
16¢—$00/0Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 5°C on October 20—16¢
$00/0
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 6°C on October 20
9¢—$00/0Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 6°C on October 20—9¢
$00/0
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 7°C on October 20
11¢—$00/0Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 7°C on October 20—11¢
$00/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs10 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 75%· net of hedges
+26 new YES$709+31 new NO$2.0K
$186 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $1.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $100·NO $1.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$102
Avg Win Rate
77.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$262(+258.0%)
Whales
6
M
Meaty-Pseudoscience🥇
Entry 59¢·105 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $62 · WR 80.4%
F
ForeverAlone69🥈
Entry 57¢·30 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $17 · WR 58.8%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 4¢·258.7 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$157
+$157INV $10 · WR 85.9%
W
Weird-Holderhedged
Entry 12¢·54.1 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $7 · WR 76.0%
L
LowTempTation
Entry 3¢·95 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
98.2%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $3 · WR 98.2%
R
robert-mukhametov
Entry 13¢·19 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $2 · WR 60.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
73.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$840(-59.0%)
Whales
10
S
ShaneLin🥇
Entry 95¢·1,156.6 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
74.0%
Position P&L
$-692
$-692INV $1.1K · WR 74.0%
J
jsahdjklahsjkdbkaslJDkasjh🥈
Entry 59¢·341.8 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-79
$-79INV $200 · WR 58.2%
D
daegoth🥉
Entry 94¢·90 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
98.6%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $85 · WR 98.6%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 80¢·12 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $10 · WR 68.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 43¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $9 · WR 72.1%
T
tribunal
Entry 79¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $8 · WR 77.7%
M
maxima46
Entry 60¢·13 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $8 · WR 69.7%
P
photographerstarfish
Entry 60¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 68.3%
W
Weird-Holderhedged
Entry 88¢·1.8 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 76.0%
W
Welcome2026
Entry 88¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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