YES Price
38¢
38% implied
NO Price
62¢
62% implied
Volume
$693
44 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 40 traders · 1 on both sides
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 20?
11 MARKETS · $6.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C or below on October 20
8¢—$6590/0Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C or below on October 20—8¢
$6590/0
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 20
1¢—$300/0Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 20—1¢
$300/0
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 20
4¢+46¢$731/1Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 20+46¢4¢
$731/1
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 20
32¢+18¢$2621/1Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 20+18¢32¢
$2621/1
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 20←
38¢—$6930/0Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 20←—38¢
$6930/0
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 20
32¢−32¢$6210/3Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 20−32¢32¢
$6210/3
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 20
0¢0¢$2.5K0/2Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 200¢0¢
$2.5K0/2
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 20
0¢—$2150/0Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 20—0¢
$2150/0
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 20
0¢—$5150/0Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 20—0¢
$5150/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs5 NO
55%46%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 74%· net of hedges
+27 new YES$202+23 new NO$497
$77 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $96 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $7·NO $86YES Team
Total Invested
$39
Avg Win Rate
72.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+3.7%)
Whales
6
M
m8x.gort🥇
Entry 37¢·80 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 · WR 72.7%
G
Gullible-Invasion-Provider🥈
Entry 29¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 67.3%
A
Alex.17🥉
Entry 32¢·6.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 100.0%
R
risto-test1◆Proven
Entry 28¢·5.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 57.3%
T
twobonclayhedged
Entry 28¢·5.6 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 58.8%
B
Bilberry
Entry 28¢·5.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 58.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$87
Avg Win Rate
69.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-5.9%)
Whales
5
Y
yellowpp🥇
Entry 73¢·83.9 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $61 · WR 72.3%
T
TunSahur🥈
Entry 68¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $14 · WR 59.9%
W
Welcome2026🥉
Entry 72¢·7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 57.2%
T
tribunal
Entry 66¢·6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 77.7%
T
twobonclayhedged
Entry 74¢·5.1 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 58.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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