YES Price
45¢
45% implied
NO Price
55¢
55% implied
Volume
$2.5K
156 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 78 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 18?
11 MARKETS · $6.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on October 18
0¢0¢$1750/2Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on October 180¢0¢
$1750/2
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on October 18
0¢—$1450/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on October 18—0¢
$1450/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 18
0¢—$1450/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 18—0¢
$1450/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 18
0¢+33¢$1031/2Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 18+33¢0¢
$1031/2
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 18
1¢+32¢$1581/2Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 18+32¢1¢
$1581/2
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 18
0¢+33¢$2681/2Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 18+33¢0¢
$2681/2
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 18
1¢+24¢$1961/3Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 18+24¢1¢
$1961/3
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 18
9¢+8¢$7421/5Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 18+8¢9¢
$7421/5
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 18
39¢−22¢$1.1K1/5Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 18−22¢39¢
$1.1K1/5
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs11 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 70% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 60%· net of hedges
+38 new YES$1.0K+53 new NO$1.4K
$448 of this was bought on both sides by the same 16 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 27% of the money is not a bet
$108 of $397 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $203·NO $86YES Team
Total Invested
$259
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$38(+14.6%)
Whales
4
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇hedged
Entry 41¢·539.3 shares·also $54 on NO
Invested
$223
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $223 · WR 59.9%
2
241532532432◆Proven🥈
Entry 42¢·68.3 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $28 · WR 57.9%
R
risto-test1🥉
Entry 44¢·11.6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 57.0%
D
danny42069hedged
Entry 41¢·5 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 67.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$166
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$16(+9.5%)
Whales
11
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇hedged
Entry 55¢·97.6 shares·also $223 on YES
Invested
$54
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $54 · WR 59.9%
L
lucikdemon🥈
Entry 54¢·93.6 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $51 · WR 59.2%
T
twobonclay🥉
Entry 55¢·51.9 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $29 · WR 63.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 52¢·18.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 79.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 49¢·13.4 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 53¢·12.2 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 85.9%
N
Near-Science
Entry 54¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 61.0%
I
Insignificant-Chapter
Entry 63¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 62.7%
D
danny42069hedged
Entry 59¢·5 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 67.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 0¢·8.4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $0 · WR 86.0%
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