YES Price
38¢
38% implied
NO Price
62¢
62% implied
Volume
$945
97 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 64 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Madrid on October 18?
11 MARKETS · $2.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 10°C or below on October 18
0¢—$150/0Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 10°C or below on October 18—0¢
$150/0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 11°C on October 18
0¢—$150/0Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 11°C on October 18—0¢
$150/0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 12°C on October 18
0¢—$150/0Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 12°C on October 18—0¢
$150/0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on October 18
1¢—$1410/0Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on October 18—1¢
$1410/0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on October 18
3¢—$720/0Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on October 18—3¢
$720/0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on October 18
19¢—$1440/0Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on October 18—19¢
$1440/0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 18←
38¢—$9450/0Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 18←—38¢
$9450/0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 18
26¢—$1570/0Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 18—26¢
$1570/0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 18
8¢—$1330/0Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 18—8¢
$1330/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs14 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 18% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+33 new YES$315+43 new NO$659
$113 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales14 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$6 of $188 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $33·NO $150YES Team
Total Invested
$36
Avg Win Rate
65.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+6.6%)
Whales
4
T
twobonclay🥇hedged
Entry 31¢·41.3 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$13
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $13 · WR 61.2%
K
kerbrerv🥈
Entry 38¢·32.9 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $12 · WR 63.6%
W
whhisky🥉
Entry 47¢·20.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $9 · WR 70.9%
S
SoW-yiyi
Entry 32¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 76.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$157
Avg Win Rate
70.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-4.0%)
Whales
14
N
NimbusEdge🥇
Entry 67¢·63 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $42 · WR 76.6%
B
Bilberry🥈
Entry 58¢·59.6 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $35 · WR 58.5%
G
giuselon🥉
Entry 66¢·44.6 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $30 · WR 68.4%
F
Fluid-Haversack
Entry 72¢·28 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $20 · WR 87.5%
H
heyhighhui
Entry 55¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 57.6%
N
Near-Science
Entry 63¢·8.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 61.1%
H
hamid1919
Entry 68¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 76.2%
K
krbrv
Entry 61¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 61.6%
T
twobonclayhedged
Entry 58¢·5.2 shares·also $13 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 61.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 49¢·5.7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 88.2%
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