YES Price
41¢
41% implied
NO Price
59¢
59% implied
Volume
$2.0K
145 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 76 traders · 3 on both sides
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 17?
11 MARKETS · $4.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on October 17
0¢0¢$1200/1Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on October 170¢0¢
$1200/1
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 17
0¢—$1500/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 17—0¢
$1500/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 17
0¢+25¢$841/3Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 17+25¢0¢
$841/3
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 17
0¢+25¢$821/3Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 17+25¢0¢
$821/3
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 17
1¢+32¢$2271/2Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 17+32¢1¢
$2271/2
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 17
1¢+19¢$2291/4Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 17+19¢1¢
$2291/4
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 17
5¢+38¢$1323/4Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 17+38¢5¢
$1323/4
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 17←
41¢−2¢$2.0K7/11Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 17←−2¢41¢
$2.0K7/11
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 17
46¢−10¢$6874/7Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 17−10¢46¢
$6874/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs11 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 66%· net of hedges
+49 new YES$827+49 new NO$1.2K
$911 of this was bought on both sides by the same 22 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 64% of the money is not a bet
$239 of $376 is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $23·NO $114YES Team
Total Invested
$146
Avg Win Rate
61.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$13(-9.2%)
Whales
7
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇hedged
Entry 43¢·211.9 shares·also $177 on NO
Invested
$92
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $92 · WR 60.9%
T
twobonclay🥈hedged
Entry 44¢·52.3 shares·also $31 on NO
Invested
$23
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $23 · WR 61.2%
T
Tremendous-Kitten🥉
Entry 44¢·46 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $20 · WR 63.4%
R
risto-test1hedged
Entry 44¢·10.9 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 56.4%
T
thunderfrog
Entry 50¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 77.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 31¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 79.6%
M
Majas
Entry 44¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 66.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$266
Avg Win Rate
63.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$8(+2.9%)
Whales
11
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇hedged
Entry 58¢·303.5 shares·also $92 on YES
Invested
$177
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $177 · WR 60.9%
T
twobonclay🥈hedged
Entry 59¢·51.7 shares·also $23 on YES
Invested
$31
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $31 · WR 61.2%
K
krbrv🥉
Entry 65¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $13 · WR 61.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 61¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $12 · WR 85.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $10 · WR 88.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 61¢·11.8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 87.7%
R
risto-test1hedged
Entry 59¢·10.7 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$6
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 56.4%
I
Insignificant-Chapter
Entry 63¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 62.8%
N
neverhackme
Entry 61¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 75.8%
N
Near-Science
Entry 50¢·4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 61.1%
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