121 days left

Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

92¢

92% implied

NO Price

8¢

8% implied

Volume

$6.0K

137 trades

Smart Whales

of 61 traders

Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Nominations

15 MARKETS · $58.2K MATCHED

Smart Money

"All of a Sudden"

55¢+45¢$2.8K1/0

"All of a Sudden"+45¢55¢

"Cry to Heaven"+43¢7¢

$1.8K1/1

"Dune: Part Three"

44¢−44¢$4.7K0/1

"Dune: Part Three"−44¢44¢

"Project Hail Mary"←−59¢92¢

"The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth"

16¢−16¢$9.0K0/3

"The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth"−16¢16¢

"The Social Reckoning"

7¢−7¢$1.3K0/1

"The Social Reckoning"−7¢7¢

$1.3K0/1

"The Whisper Man"

3¢−3¢$6.8K0/1

"The Whisper Man"−3¢3¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs2 NO

Wallets vs price

Price 92¢

YES 33%NO 67%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 92¢

Net of both-sides wallets: 82% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowYES momentum 95%· net of hedges

$93

$12

+3 new YES+5 new NO

$16 bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum

Teams by

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $92 is directional: YES $76·NO $16

YES Team

Total Invested

$76

Avg Win Rate

56.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$11(+13.9%)

Whales

+$11INV $76 · WR 56.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$16

Avg Win Rate

71.5%

Aggregate P&L

+$8(+47.0%)

Whales

yetiyetiyeti🥇

Entry 8¢·158.1 shares

+$8INV $13 · WR 75.3%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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