YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$226
41 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 29 traders
Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 16?
11 MARKETS · $2.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or below on October 16
1¢—$2180/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or below on October 16—1¢
$2180/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 16
0¢—$1480/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 16—0¢
$1480/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 16
1¢—$810/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 16—1¢
$810/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 16
6¢—$1980/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 16—6¢
$1980/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 16
22¢—$6450/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 16—22¢
$6450/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16
45¢—$4820/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16—45¢
$4820/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 16
22¢—$2140/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 16—22¢
$2140/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 16←
6¢—$2260/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 16←—6¢
$2260/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 16
1¢—$810/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 16—1¢
$810/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs9 NO
10%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+14 new YES$24+17 new NO$200
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $63 is directional: YES $1·NO $62YES Team
Total Invested
$1
Avg Win Rate
61.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-50.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$74
Avg Win Rate
63.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$61(+81.4%)
Whales
9
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇
Entry 83¢·65.1 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $54 · WR 59.2%
R
risto-test1🥈
Entry 83¢·10.5 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 56.0%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 50¢·14.4 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $7 · WR 87.7%
M
Mellow-Leaver-Ambiguity
Entry 96¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 89.3%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 0¢·8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $0 · WR 84.5%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 0¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $0 · WR 88.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 0¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $0 · WR 88.2%
X
xiaoxiaocangying
Entry 0¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $0 · WR 83.8%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 0¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $0 · WR 86.5%
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