YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$2.6K
82 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 36 traders · 2 on both sides
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above __?
5 MARKETS · $6.3K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs5 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+28 new YES$214+25 new NO$2.4K
$137 of this was bought on both sides by the same 16 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$17 of $1.6K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $40·NO $1.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$49
Avg Win Rate
69.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$31(-63.0%)
Whales
3
S
sbimbg🥇
Entry 8¢·500 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $40 · WR 72.3%
S
spxtest🥈hedged
Entry 7¢·91.2 shares·also $100 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $7 · WR 55.0%
T
title1🥉hedged
Entry 6¢·30 shares·also $174 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 55.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
65.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$114(+7.1%)
Whales
5
V
vinii🥇
Entry 91¢·1,249 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $1.1K · WR 65.8%
K
KimchiCapital◆Proven🥈
Entry 86¢·212 shares
Invested
$181
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $181 · WR 79.3%
T
title1🥉hedged
Entry 91¢·191.4 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$174
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $174 · WR 55.1%
S
spxtesthedged
Entry 91¢·110 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$100
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $100 · WR 55.0%
A
0xaade8588...
Entry 94¢·5.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 55.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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