YES Price
26¢
26% implied
NO Price
74¢
74% implied
Volume
$2.2K
144 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 77 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 15?
11 MARKETS · $6.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C or below on October 15
0¢—$7780/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C or below on October 15—0¢
$7780/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 15
0¢—$1160/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 15—0¢
$1160/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 15
1¢—$990/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 15—1¢
$990/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 15
3¢—$3930/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 15—3¢
$3930/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 15←
26¢—$2.2K0/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 15←—26¢
$2.2K0/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15
53¢—$1.3K0/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15—53¢
$1.3K0/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 15
17¢—$1.0K0/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 15—17¢
$1.0K0/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 15
2¢—$2770/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 15—2¢
$2770/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 15
1¢—$1740/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 15—1¢
$1740/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs11 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 54% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+42 new YES$496+54 new NO$1.7K
$603 of this was bought on both sides by the same 18 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 48% of the money is not a bet
$107 of $223 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $62·NO $54YES Team
Total Invested
$117
Avg Win Rate
61.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$34(+28.6%)
Whales
5
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇hedged
Entry 19¢·429.2 shares·also $54 on NO
Invested
$83
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $83 · WR 62.6%
B
Bilberry🥈
Entry 24¢·125.5 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $30 · WR 58.8%
B
bhuumi🥉
Entry 28¢·7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 75.4%
D
0xde0d8c84...
Entry 25¢·4.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 59.6%
F
0xf43e3787...
Entry 25¢·4.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$188
Avg Win Rate
73.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$24(+12.7%)
Whales
11
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇hedged
Entry 75¢·71.7 shares·also $83 on YES
Invested
$54
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $54 · WR 62.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·87.3 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $44 · WR 85.9%
A
AAAGoose🥉
Entry 84¢·30 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $25 · WR 72.8%
X
xiaoxiaocangying
Entry 79¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
83.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $16 · WR 83.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·30.6 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $15 · WR 87.7%
R
risto-test1
Entry 75¢·10.5 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 56.5%
M
melchior1248
Entry 62¢·10.6 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 69.2%
F
fox49374
Entry 77¢·8.4 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 65.1%
T
Thorny-Sting
Entry 72¢·7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 72.1%
N
Near-Science
Entry 84¢·5.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 61.7%
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