Politics176 days left

Will Marine Le Pen win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

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YES Price

11¢

11% implied

NO Price

89¢

89% implied

Volume

$5.2K

176 trades

Smart Whales

17

of 62 traders

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

16 MARKETS · $36.4K MATCHED

Smart Money

Marine Le Pen←

11¢+1¢$5.2K2/15

Marine Le Pen←+1¢11¢

Édouard Philippe

15¢−2¢$3.5K2/14

Édouard Philippe−2¢15¢

19¢+7¢$7.3K5/14

David Lisnard+7¢19¢

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

37¢+5¢$3.5K8/11

Jean-Luc Mélenchon+5¢37¢

François Hollande

2¢+31¢$1.8K4/8

François Hollande+31¢2¢

1¢+20¢$1.5K3/11

Gabriel Attal+20¢1¢

Raphaël Glucksmann

10¢+9¢$4.1K3/13

Raphaël Glucksmann+9¢10¢

Bruno Retailleau

1¢+20¢$1.9K3/11

Bruno Retailleau+20¢1¢

0¢+20¢$4242/8

Sarah Knafo+20¢0¢

Dominique de Villepin

0¢+20¢$1.1K2/8

Dominique de Villepin+20¢0¢

Christine Lagarde

0¢+21¢$1.2K3/11

Christine Lagarde+21¢0¢

0¢+46¢$9766/7

Éric Zemmour+46¢0¢

Jordan Bardella

0¢+24¢$1.3K4/13

Jordan Bardella+24¢0¢

Sébastien Lecornu

0¢+25¢$1.5K3/9

Sébastien Lecornu+25¢0¢

François Ruffin

0¢+11¢$6141/8

François Ruffin+11¢0¢

Marine Tondelier

0¢+9¢$6671/10

Marine Tondelier+9¢0¢

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs15 NO

12%88%

88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges

+4 new YES$75+16 new NO$820

$12 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum

0 smart whales6 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $158 is directional: YES $0·NO $158

YES Team

Total Invested

$9

Avg Win Rate

75.0%

Aggregate P&L

-$4(-47.8%)

Whales

2

sweetj🥇hedged

Entry 22¢·40 shares·also $94 on NO

$-5INV $9 · WR 74.9%

Entry 2¢·5 shares

+$0INV $0 · WR 79.4%

NO Team

Total Invested

$965

Avg Win Rate

81.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$127(+13.1%)

Whales

15

glm4.1.fund🥇

Entry 77¢·230.5 shares

+$28INV $178 · WR 85.9%

Entry 84¢·167 shares

+$12INV $140 · WR 62.6%

godblessme2026🥉

Entry 89¢·145 shares

+$1INV $129 · WR 88.0%

Entry 90¢·135 shares

$-1INV $122 · WR 88.9%

Entry 87¢·134.7 shares

+$4INV $117 · WR 87.6%

Entry 62¢·152.8 shares·also $9 on YES

+$42INV $94 · WR 74.9%

Entry 75¢·71.4 shares

+$11INV $53 · WR 86.1%

Entry 85¢·50.2 shares

+$2INV $43 · WR 88.1%

Entry 90¢·30 shares

$-0INV $27 · WR 88.7%

Entry 90¢·20 shares

+$0INV $18 · WR 72.0%

Showing top 10 of 15

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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