YES Price
31¢
31% implied
NO Price
69¢
69% implied
Volume
$4.6K
276 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 119 traders · 2 on both sides
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 14?
11 MARKETS · $13.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C or below on October 14
0¢—$650/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C or below on October 14—0¢
$650/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 14
0¢—$1500/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 14—0¢
$1500/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 14
0¢—$1450/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 14—0¢
$1450/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 14
0¢—$3060/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 14—0¢
$3060/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 14
1¢—$5060/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 14—1¢
$5060/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 14
9¢—$9650/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 14—9¢
$9650/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 14
62¢—$4.9K0/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 14—62¢
$4.9K0/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 14←
31¢—$4.6K0/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 14←—31¢
$4.6K0/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 14
1¢—$1.1K0/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 14—1¢
$1.1K0/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs20 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 39% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 65%· net of hedges
+59 new YES$1.1K+68 new NO$1.6K
$964 of this was bought on both sides by the same 24 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales22 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 59% of the money is not a bet
$315 of $530 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $83·NO $132YES Team
Total Invested
$241
Avg Win Rate
62.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$58(-24.0%)
Whales
5
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇hedged
Entry 40¢·548.2 shares·also $151 on NO
Invested
$221
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $221 · WR 62.6%
R
risto-test1🥈hedged
Entry 42¢·31.3 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$13
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $13 · WR 56.5%
U
Unknown-Stair🥉
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 77.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 9¢·13 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1 · WR 72.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 9¢·8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 87.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$480
Avg Win Rate
68.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$133(+27.8%)
Whales
20
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇hedged
Entry 52¢·288.1 shares·also $221 on YES
Invested
$151
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $151 · WR 62.6%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥈
Entry 63¢·144.8 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $91 · WR 55.3%
F
fourcoin15m🥉
Entry 52¢·149.4 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $78 · WR 84.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·56 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $28 · WR 88.2%
X
xiaoxiaocangying
Entry 50¢·53.6 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
83.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $27 · WR 83.7%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $20 · WR 69.2%
2
241532532432◆Proven
Entry 53¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $11 · WR 58.9%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 50¢·20.5 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 59.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 89.3%
N
neverhackme
Entry 55¢·14.8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 75.8%
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