YES Price
43¢
43% implied
NO Price
57¢
57% implied
Volume
$1.6K
181 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 90 traders · 2 on both sides
Highest temperature in Cape Town on October 14?
11 MARKETS · $8.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on October 14
0¢—$2570/0Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on October 14—0¢
$2570/0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 14
1¢—$1930/0Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 14—1¢
$1930/0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 14
0¢—$3620/0Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 14—0¢
$3620/0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 14
5¢—$3010/0Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 14—5¢
$3010/0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 14
38¢—$2.3K0/0Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 14—38¢
$2.3K0/0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 14←
43¢—$1.6K0/0Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 14←—43¢
$1.6K0/0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 14
9¢—$9760/0Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 14—9¢
$9760/0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 14
3¢—$4750/0Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 14—3¢
$4750/0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 14
0¢—$4420/0Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 14—0¢
$4420/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs18 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 32% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 58%· net of hedges
+46 new YES$779+44 new NO$622
$433 of this was bought on both sides by the same 16 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$13 of $180 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $54·NO $114YES Team
Total Invested
$60
Avg Win Rate
61.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$19(+32.0%)
Whales
4
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇
Entry 33¢·141.2 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $47 · WR 62.6%
2
241532532432🥈hedged
Entry 39¢·19.2 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 58.9%
R
risto-test1🥉hedged
Entry 47¢·10 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 56.5%
S
SoW-yiyi
Entry 42¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 77.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$426
Avg Win Rate
79.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$66(+15.4%)
Whales
18
T
TunSahur🥇
Entry 60¢·160 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $96 · WR 59.9%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 46¢·127.8 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $59 · WR 87.7%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 45¢·106 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $48 · WR 89.3%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 42¢·90.6 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $38 · WR 88.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 43¢·86 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $37 · WR 89.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $30 · WR 87.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 47¢·60 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $28 · WR 86.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $25 · WR 88.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 47¢·50 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $24 · WR 85.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $10 · WR 85.9%
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