YES Price
98¢
98% implied
NO Price
2¢
2% implied
Volume
$1.3K
121 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 32 traders · 1 on both sides
Where will it rain on October 12?
28 MARKETS · $7.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will it rain in New York, NY on October 12
3¢−3¢$4590/2Will it rain in New York, NY on October 12−3¢3¢
$4590/2
Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 12
97¢—$4230/0Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 12—97¢
$4230/0
Will it rain in Chicago, IL on October 12
4¢—$3390/0Will it rain in Chicago, IL on October 12—4¢
$3390/0
Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 12
50¢—$1030/0Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 12—50¢
$1030/0
Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 12
3¢−3¢$8700/1Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 12−3¢3¢
$8700/1
Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 12←
98¢−48¢$1.3K2/2Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 12←−48¢98¢
$1.3K2/2
Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on October 12
97¢−64¢$6061/2Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on October 12−64¢97¢
$6061/2
Will it rain in Washington, DC on October 12
98¢−31¢$4502/1Will it rain in Washington, DC on October 12−31¢98¢
$4502/1
Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on October 12
1¢—$330/0Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on October 12—1¢
$330/0
Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 12
1¢−1¢$1.9K0/2Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 12−1¢1¢
$1.9K0/2
Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 12
1¢—$330/0Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 12—1¢
$330/0
Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 12
98¢+2¢$672/0Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 12+2¢98¢
$672/0
Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 12
1¢—$330/0Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 12—1¢
$330/0
Will it rain in San Francisco, CA on October 12
1¢—$330/0Will it rain in San Francisco, CA on October 12—1¢
$330/0
Will it rain in New York, NY on October 13
6¢—$500/0Will it rain in New York, NY on October 13—6¢
$500/0
Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 13
1¢—$100/0Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 13—1¢
$100/0
Will it rain in Chicago, IL on October 13
49¢—$500/0Will it rain in Chicago, IL on October 13—49¢
$500/0
Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 13
35¢—$60/0Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 13—35¢
$60/0
Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 13
51¢—$500/0Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 13—51¢
$500/0
Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on October 13
5¢—$500/0Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on October 13—5¢
$500/0
Will it rain in Washington, DC on October 13
3¢—$00/0Will it rain in Washington, DC on October 13—3¢
$00/0
Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 13
3¢—$1070/0Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 13—3¢
$1070/0
Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 13
88¢—$500/0Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 13—88¢
$500/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs4 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 28% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 54%· net of hedges
+26 new YES$609+23 new NO$655
$660 of this was bought on both sides by the same 17 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$10 of $188 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $50·NO $128YES Team
Total Invested
$55
Avg Win Rate
78.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$8(+15.3%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$133
Avg Win Rate
60.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-3.1%)
Whales
4
W
Winged-Holder🥇
Entry 55¢·149.5 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $82 · WR 63.3%
R
Rosy-Suppression🥈
Entry 42¢·97.9 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $41 · WR 55.0%
W
werwolf🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·10 shares·also $9 on YES
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 56.5%
A
Adventurous-Magnet
Entry 86¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 67.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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