YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$2.2K
159 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 75 traders · 2 on both sides
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 12?
11 MARKETS · $10.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C or below on October 12
1¢−1¢$2700/2Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C or below on October 12−1¢1¢
$2700/2
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 12
0¢+17¢$2311/5Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 12+17¢0¢
$2311/5
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 12
1¢+13¢$3901/6Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 12+13¢1¢
$3901/6
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 12
0¢+17¢$2271/5Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 12+17¢0¢
$2271/5
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 12
2¢−2¢$4550/7Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 12−2¢2¢
$4550/7
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 12
10¢+19¢$2.2K2/5Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 12+19¢10¢
$2.2K2/5
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 12
69¢−59¢$3.1K1/9Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 12−59¢69¢
$3.1K1/9
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 12←
17¢+8¢$2.2K2/6Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 12←+8¢17¢
$2.2K2/6
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 12
1¢−1¢$3480/4Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 12−1¢1¢
$3480/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs16 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 26% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 9 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+39 new YES$427+53 new NO$1.7K
$388 of this was bought on both sides by the same 18 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales15 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$16 of $193 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $45·NO $131YES Team
Total Invested
$53
Avg Win Rate
64.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$9(-16.5%)
Whales
5
S
Stupendous-Castle🥇
Entry 19¢·100 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $19 · WR 67.2%
2
241532532432◆Proven🥈
Entry 16¢·100 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $16 · WR 58.8%
M
Mikhail2026🥉
Entry 25¢·40 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $10 · WR 57.1%
T
thunderfroghedged
Entry 24¢·17.4 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 78.3%
U
Unknown-Stairhedged
Entry 20¢·20.3 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 77.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$266
Avg Win Rate
75.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$62(+23.5%)
Whales
16
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 50¢·122.1 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $61 · WR 85.9%
A
AuspiciousWolf🥈
Entry 82¢·49.6 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $41 · WR 61.3%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 76¢·40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $31 · WR 86.0%
N
neverhackme
Entry 77¢·33.4 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $26 · WR 75.9%
R
risto-test1
Entry 81¢·30.8 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $25 · WR 56.0%
K
korda77
Entry 78¢·21 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $16 · WR 85.2%
U
Unknown-Stairhedged
Entry 78¢·20.2 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $16 · WR 77.1%
H
hgr1
Entry 78¢·13 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 59.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 89.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 77¢·9.9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 87.7%
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