Will Asrar Hiyrden win the 2026 Men's Chicago Marathon?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

1¢

1% implied

NO Price

99¢

99% implied

Volume

$38

6 trades

Smart Whales

2

of 7 traders

Chicago Marathon Men's Winner

14 MARKETS · $1.9K MATCHED

Smart Money

99¢−28¢$5425/2

Amos Kipruto−28¢99¢

Asrar Hiyrden←

1¢−1¢$380/2

Asrar Hiyrden←−1¢1¢

1¢−1¢$900/2

Brian Kibor−1¢1¢

37¢−37¢$1100/2

Charles Hicks−37¢37¢

37¢−37¢$900/1

Clayton Young−37¢37¢

37¢−12¢$471/3

Daniel Mateiko−12¢37¢

37¢−37¢$850/2

Galen Rupp−37¢37¢

2¢+48¢$3882/2

Jacob Kiplimo+48¢2¢

Milkesa Mengesha

37¢+13¢$381/1

Milkesa Mengesha+13¢37¢

Mohamed Reda El Aaraby

1¢−1¢$880/2

Mohamed Reda El Aaraby−1¢1¢

1¢−1¢$880/1

Sondre Moen−1¢1¢

37¢−37¢$900/1

Suguru Osako−37¢37¢

Tadese Takele Bikila

1¢+32¢$1181/2

Tadese Takele Bikila+32¢1¢

1¢−1¢$650/1

another runner−1¢1¢

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Smart Money Consensus

0 YESvs2 NO

100%

100% of smart money holding this market is on NO

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

YES Team

Total Invested

$0

Avg Win Rate

unknown

Aggregate P&L

—

Whales

0

No smart whales on YES

NO Team

Total Invested

$18

Avg Win Rate

75.3%

Aggregate P&L

+$28(+153.0%)

Whales

2

Loose-Alloy🥇

Entry 50¢·36 shares

+$18INV $18 · WR 75.3%

Entry 0¢·10 shares

+$10INV $0 · WR 84.1%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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