Geopolitics26 days left

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

YES Price
75¢
75% implied
NO Price
25¢
25% implied
Volume
$4.5K
86 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 42 traders · 4 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

11 YESvs9 NO
55%45%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 91% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 5 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 74%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$3.3K+28 new NO$1.5K
$1.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
9 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $2.2K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $244 is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $1.8K·NO $172

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 268ms